The Giants were behind the eight-ball going into Week 13 as іt was, but injury woes have not helped. Expect them tо struggle tо score vs. the Cowboys оn Thanksgiving Day.
All the gravy іn the world couldn’t make this NFC East rivalry easier tо stomach, given the current state оf the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys.
Who’d of thought that when New York was scheduled to face Dallas in the annual Thanksgiving Day showcase, we’d be getting a matchup of Tommy DeVito vs. Cooper Rush at quarterback? And that’s if we’re lucky.
Injuries are adding up for both teams on the short week, which doesn’t bode well for fans of high-flying football.
I size up the spread and Over/Under total for this Thanksgiving game and give my best Giants vs. Cowboys predictions and NFL picks for Thursday, November 28.
Giants Vs Cowboys Prediction
My best bet
Giants team total Under 16.5 (+100 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The New York Giants have had issues at quarterback all season, and casting off former starter Daniel Jones hasn’t helped.
Heading into this short week, New York could be counting on QB3 Drew Lock to take snaps with QB2 Tommy DeVito nursing an injury to his throwing arm. DeVito sat out Wednesday’s walkthrough, which doesn’t bode well for the G-Men.
Truth be told, the difference between DeVito and Lock in terms of the betting markets isn’t much, but the short week doesn’t leave Lock much time to cook up any chemistry with New York’s receivers. We’re going to see a dumbed-down offense from Brian Daboll, with shorter throws and plenty of handoffs.
The Dallas Cowboys’ defense has been up-and-down this season, mostly down due to injuries to key contributors. But the stop unit is getting those big bodies back and have quietly improved the past three weeks — despite giving up a total of 94 points in that span.
In the opening nine weeks of action, Dallas ranked 30th in EPA allowed per play. Since Week 10, the defense has played with more bite and improved to 15th in that advanced metric. And doing so against much stronger offensive opposition than the Giants (Commanders, Texans, Eagles).
A lot of that has to do with standout edge Micah Parsons’ return, which has helped boost the Cowboys’ pass rush and collect 10 sacks over those previous three outings. Dallas now has the fifth-highest pressure rate per dropback and faces a backup QB behind a depleted offensive line possibly missing its starting tackles in Week 13.
The Over/Under markets, specifically when factoring in Dallas’ defense, are skewed due in large part to last Sunday’s result. The Cowboys held a 20-9 lead over the Washington Commanders — the most explosive offense in the NFL — for the first 57 minutes. Then all hell broke loose in the last 182 seconds (Commanders scored 17 points).
Because of that, the Giants’ team total is sitting just shy of 17 points, which is a bar New York has surpassed only five times all season, including just squeaking over with efforts of 17, 18, and 18 points. And that was at the best of times.
We catch the G-Men is a really tough spot in Week 13, playing on the road in a short week with a possible Plan C passer under center.
Giants Vs Cowboys Same-Game Parlay
- Giants team total Under 16.5
- Tyrone Tracy 2+ receptions
- Rico Dowdle 50+ rushing yards
Backup QBs, a broken offensive line, and an aggressive Dallas pass rush doesn’t add up to many points for the G-Men.
Tyrone Tracy drew four targets with the backup QBs under center last week and will once again be a quick-hitting option against the Cowboys.
Rico Dowdle had 19 carries in Week 12 — his second most of the season — and faces a Giants defense giving up the most yards per carry (5.2) in the NFL.
Giants Vs Cowboys Odds
Giants vs Cowboys live odds
| Teams | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| N.Y. Giants | +3.5-112 | o 37.5-106 | +156 |
| Dallas | -3.5-108 | u 37.5-114 | -186 |
Giants Vs Cowboys Opening Odds
- Spread: New York +3.5 | Dallas -3.5
- Moneyline: New York +155 | Dallas -190
- Over/Under: Over 39.5 | Under 39.5
Odds courtesy of FanDuel
Giants Vs Cowboys Spread And Over/Under Analysis
- Dallas opened as a 3.5-point home chalk for the annual holiday home game, and we’ve seen this spread jump to -4 with buyback on New York bumping it back to the original spot.
- Covers Consensus shows 79% of picks laying the points with “America’s Team.”
- The total opened as high as 39.5 but was trimmed to as low as 37.5 with both teams listing their current starting QBs as questionable. Dallas’ Cooper Rush is trending toward playing, but DeVito looks like he could miss Week 13.
- Covers Consensus shows 63% of picks taking the Over.
Giants Vs Cowboys Betting Trend To Know
Dallas not only plays its third game in 10 days on Thanksgiving, but has been a historically bad bet on the holiday. The Cowboys are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 Thanksgiving Day games.
Read more articles on CasinoSlot News
